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Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."Morgan Stanley upgraded Dahua's rating to parity, with a target price of RMB in 19 yuan. Andy Meng, an analyst at Morgan Stanley, had a low rating. The target price is 19 yuan RMB, which is up by 12%.The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)

International oil prices rose on the 11th. As of the close of the day, the futures price of light crude oil for January 2025 in the New York Mercantile Exchange rose by $1.70 to close at $70.29 per barrel, an increase of 2.48%. London Brent crude oil futures for delivery in February 2025 rose by $1.33 to close at $73.52 per barrel, an increase of 1.84%.Russian Foreign Intelligence Agency: After using the Hazelnut missile, NATO is worried that the "aggression" against Russia will become the basis for Russia to make a decisive response.International oil prices rose on the 11th. As of the close of the day, the futures price of light crude oil for January 2025 in the New York Mercantile Exchange rose by $1.70 to close at $70.29 per barrel, an increase of 2.48%. London Brent crude oil futures for delivery in February 2025 rose by $1.33 to close at $73.52 per barrel, an increase of 1.84%.

Aiming at the low-interest inclusive credit intermediary packaging, I recently visited a number of loan intermediaries and found that these companies are very similar in business layout and office space. The bank logo on the wall is standard, and the daily performance information of loan managers is scrolled on the electronic screen hanging at the entrance. Observing the screen, it is not difficult to find that the Pratt & Whitney mortgage loan for small and micro enterprises is the main product of loan managers in the near future. Customizing shell companies for borrowers according to bank audit requirements to apply for mortgage loans has become a routine means for loan intermediaries to attract customers. Although many banks explicitly require that cooperation with loan intermediaries is not allowed, the attitude of bank branches and grassroots employees towards loan intermediaries is ambiguous. According to industry insiders, inclusive loans are special loans that benefit small and micro enterprises, farmers and other special groups and must be implemented. With the implementation of the financing coordination mechanism for small and micro enterprises, banks and enterprises are expected to achieve accurate docking, so that credit resources can flow to small and micro enterprises with real financing needs. (CSI)According to the medical report, Brazilian President Lula is still in the intensive care unit after undergoing brain surgery, and he will undergo another operation on Thursday morning local time.According to opinion polls, Chile's inflation rate is expected to be 3.5% in the next 12 months.